WUDC 2023 決勝 Transcript

WUDC 2023 決勝 Transcript

YouTubeにあがっていたTranscriptをそのまま文章化しました。OWだけなぜか無かったのでご了承下さい。(完全コピペなので僕は何もしていません。)

電車の中で読むなり、音源を聴きながら参照するなり、各自好きなように使ってください。(僕はよく高校生の頃電車の中で音源のTranscriptを読んでいました。昔は偉かったなぁ...)

youtu.be

Info slide: Ubuntu (“I am because we are”) is a philosophical belief that asserts that people's identities should be shaped by, and their obligations should primarily be owed to, their communities.

Motion: This House prefers a world where all individuals have a strong belief in Ubuntu.

 

Opening Government - Sofia A (Rumen Marinov & Niki Angelov)
Opening Opposition - Ateneo A (David Africa & Tobi Leung)
Closing Government - Tel Aviv A (Hadar Goldberg & Tamar Ben Meir)
Closing Opposition - Princeton B (Isaac Cape & Xiao-ke Lu)

Result:
Opening Opposition won the final on a 7-2 split.

 

 

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以下、僕の独り言です。

スプリットの2 votesはOGです。

COは死んでたのですが、OG, OO, CGの3チームはどこが勝ってもおかしくないくらい拮抗していました。

あと個人的にはLOとMGのスピーチが好きです。

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PM: Rumen Marinov

In opening government, we believe that no man is an island and the extent to which you by yourself can do kindness in the world, collectively together we can achieve greater things in society, do more things together, grow the economy, achieve the most amount of political impact. On their side of the house, you will necessarily push to individualism and have the problem of collective action.
I've never been prouder to propose this at a tournament. What I will prove is that necessarily on this side of the house they will push to individualism, for a co uple of structural reasons.
First, notice the biological push that occurs. This looks like survival mechanisms that make you want to care about yourself because it's a couple of thousands of years old. So this is why necessarily you experience things like pain and this type of things
which push you to care about yourself. But secondly, other structural reasons prop up on their side of the house like for example capitalism that pushes you to individual narratives like for example, merit virtue. But also other narratives like for example, you should look after yourself and care about these particular things.
But I would note even if they have some extent of collectivism, this is usually to the benefit of other things like your family or your close friends, which actually takes away from your community. When you make a family this is what happens.
And I know what you're going to say here. They're going to say, "Oh what if you're an LGBTQ person?" You can still opt out on our side of the house, and this is extremely crucial nuance.
Because this narrative is not brainwashing you completely. If you're experiencing all these sorts of things, you can still opt out.
What is the bottomline here? This analysis also works on our side of the house because this shouldn't change, or at least to a certain extent, which means that this narrative is not likely to be super bad and is more likely to be a good one.
Now, why everyone? And this is something that is very important. On both sides of the house, you have communities
But the extent to which resources are pooled from these communities in terms of money, in terms of time, in terms of people working together - the extent to which you in particular care and invest in these communities changes. What happens on their side of the house? On their side of the house you have a collective action problem
because we're uncertain of what types of people engage in these communities and what type of people engage in these problems.
There are other reasons to opt into these things that make people necessarily not care.
Like for example, you have to migrate to another country because you want to pursue education or you may have other interests because maybe you're a Zoomer and you have other interests than your family's.
The problem is that virtually, some people will always be locked into these communities. For example, old people who happen to be handicapped have to live in their neighbourhood.
People who do not have access to education and who do not have access to all these things or are maybe working as a farmer in this particular case.
So this means that if you're able to push other people to care about this sort of thing this is a net benefit.
What are the things that they are likely to do? Firstly, they are likely to, for example, be more mindful and care for the community, start a business, or save money; no need for example for a school to be built in this sort of case.
Or just, you know, call your grandma.
Now this is really important because a narrative isn't necessarily pushed to you.
We help people who have no other option and have to rely on their community.
We drastically increase utility for these sort of people. But notice also secondly you're also engaging people not only externally but also internally.
Two reasons. Firstly, the narrative of the belief will be worse for people who are likely to be obligated in these particular ways.
This is everything, like for example your neighbour telling you I'll do that job you do this other thing but also setting up examples of people who do good things. This may not be perfect but the fact that people virtue signal and do this in a particular way means that you already have engagement and incentive to do this.

But secondly the narrative also penalises people who don't this in particular ways.
You're most likely to be told that this person is bad for not doing their duties.
Note, since this community is likely to be very important to you you're likely to cooperate with their struggles.
You're likely to get again not a case where they receive totally, but in aggregate people more about these things.
Why is this important? Because people opt out of different things that they can do. Like for example helping children out and giving them food.
And note this has practical tangible benefits to people because it's likely we can do more. We can do more policies, we can start with more businesses.
In many cases in these existing communities people don't even talk about it to begin with so if we're able to make people want to do this, it's good.
People feel nice about when they do this sort of thing. When they're able to be rewarded by communities their indoctrinated into believing this and so they can help better on our side of the house.

Yeah? [LO] So the problem with your case is there's a magical penalty that apparently doesn't stop people from opting out but is strong enough to force you to do all these other things?
- Yes. Literally yes. Fourth argument.

Note, it's hard to engage in faults. Because it's something people don't universally care about, right?
For example, you could say, "Oh it's not my fault." You could be, for example, lazy. You could say it's not important because you don't have anything to do with this.
This changes on our side because things like voting and political activism are necessarily connected to your inner group.
The impact of this is people have a high likelihood to go out and vote a high likelihood to join political movements and social movements.
When politicians see these things they're likely to co-opt these types of mechanisms and talk about their part of the community.
This means you get vocal voting groups that exist that are working in democratic processes both in local elections like your local community but also in terms of national elections.
They're able to get a push of a 10% vote, 15% vote...
Their bargaining power increases.
The bottomline is very simple. Maybe in some cases some people will be coerced. But getting people to do all of their duties makes the benefits bigger on our side of the house.
For all these reasons propose.

 

LO: David Africa

It's the third time. I'm so glad I'm not OG. The first thing I'm going to do is outline a defence of status quo.
You still have communities, you still see yourself as an individual within that community. The primary source of your identity is your ability to dictate to yourself
and your primary obligation is to yourself. This doesn't mean that you never affiliate with your community but simply it is the way that that community gets you to affiliate with them in the first place that changes.
Maybe your obligation should not become you to the community but the community should convince you to stay within that community.
This stems from three competitive reasons. The first is simply put there is competition between communities which means there is a strong incentive to find better services
or to find better narratives to opt into. But secondly there is also a fear of dilution and general weakness which means they have to create policies where they can help others and create a strong community. Thirdly and obviously there's an option to disaffiliate out of any community at all because they're simply not good enough for you. The problem with Opening Government's flippant response to my POI is that these penalties and obligations manifest badly.
They always have and they always will. Theoretically you can opt out but it is never a realistic choice, for three structural reasons:

One, because everyone believes in it and therefore no one questions it,
it is almost impossible to come up with the confidence to speak up in status quo. Beyond that it is impossible or difficult to have reasonable and visible examples
of other people trying to speak out in the first place and it's difficult to leave, to move to other places and to mobilize enough support to give yourself a job, to give yourself community. If community is so important to government, we could never feasibly leave.
But secondly and worst of all is that once they feel the need to instrumentalise you you feel like you're strung along.
It's become a part of your identity which means it's hard for you to criticise internally because you feel so deeply connected to yourself.
And it's hard to criticise others because they feel like it's an attack on themselves. So realistically speaking, criticism is not an alternative of Government bench.
But thirdly and finally that it never occurs to you that the obligation is a problem in the first place and lays the blame on other groups of people
and other problems in your life despite the fact that it has and always will be your community's.
Status quo is a far better sight than this alternative. We move to the first argument. People live better, happier, and more fulfilled lives.
All people believe they have an obligation to community on Government but do not necessarily fit in.
We believe that over time, these groups become less and less good for you, less and less fulfilling, and make you less and less happy.
First, communities tend to impose arbitrary value on you upon birth. Another criticism to the point of Opening Gov is simply that they never explain how you opt out.
You might say in your head you can opt out but if you're that LGBT person in Opening Gov's example and you try to opt out of a homophobic community, how do you stop heteronormative standards from being forced down your throat?
How do you stop your parents at the dinner table from saying terrible things over and over again? It simply isn't a realistic alternative when you don't have the competitive incentives to want to improve that community over time such as the harms that were manifest in the first place. But beyond that, these communities are structurally likely to displace you because one, there are just millions of ways it will not choose to and beyond that, over time the mechanism of social change means that these communities
were built and optimised for the past. But as social change and time goes on you are simply not the person your community was built for.
They are built up with traditionalist, conservative beliefs that do not fit the worldview of today. But secondly, values and beliefs within communities become more malleable on Opposition bench.
The first thing is that more people question these things and criticise whether or not they're good. So maybe in Opening Government there are some obligations that are good and we can agree.
But there are some obligations that are bad. Some of them are always fine, some are at least corrupt, some are insufficiently accountable. And we observe that when more people question them, they are able to improve and drastically change the structures with actual political resources into some good.
I'd like to note this impact has two immediate outcomes. The first outcome is that the actual services themselves get better since the pool [of resources] is not done towards harming people but actual good in the first place. So government never proves that these resources are used for something good.
But thirdly and more importantly, is if you are bad and ineffective, people never opt into services in the first place and the community works for no one and for nothing.
The second impact is that we put people that are more receptive to criticism. The obverse here is the initial mechanism at the initial part of my speech, which is that if you don't feel like this is a critical part of your identity you are more receptive to change within this community because you don't feel like it's an assault on your identity and you don't feel like stagnancy is necessary for stability and safety. Which means that we're more substantially more likely to allow for change, whether you're a person in power or a person who has to vote, because you can finally change rules in your household. But thirdly and finally is that communities themselves have a larger obligation to help people for the structural reasons we provided earlier in the intro. What are the impacts of these points independent of the structure of Government's case?
The first is that simply put, these classes and cultures are preconditions for many of the material needs they have to survive in order to have food, water, and so on, to have a sense of belonging. And so when these things are from the beginning terrible,
or they go worse over time because they know less and less about your life, or worst of all you are unable to vote for what is actually best for you, you live a much, much worse life and are completely removed from any benefit that might arise in the debate. But secondly it worsens these communities over time.
If Government is right that some communities are good and some are bad, more of the worst ones tend to arise and those have have the most intent to stay in power.
Thirdly and finally, people are less happy. They have less time to explore their own preferences. They have less time to explore the individual obligations they might have for themselves for the basic reason that they feel this is mostly subsumed by the community and hence they are less and less happy.
So maybe there are some basic conditions for happiness but they never have the sufficient conditions to know themselves and be happy.

Closing? [GW] So how would you define your community and do you think you only have one today?


- Probably when you have the capacity to question that community, you can have people come together to decide what that community means in the first place.
But the discussion of about what the qualifications are in the first place, that's when you actually get the benefits.
The weighing of this argument is quite simple. It's important, one, because it's the definition of access, right? If it's gated by racism, if it's gated by terrible notions within that community, even if you can pool resources, if it never gets to you because you don't have the opportunity to access them, or worst of all because they don't feel like it should be given to you, then there's no guarantee that this pooling of resources have the right distribution. But secondly and more importantly, is that it flips their main benefit.
If the community identity is good, it gets better. If the community identity is bad, then Opening Opposition fixes it.

The second argument, quickly, is that it makes conflict worse and more difficult. So the worst conflicts in the human race are spurred on by these communities and the willingness to instrumentalise and dehumanise individuals. The problem is that one, you drastically increase the capacity to mobilize resources, both on a human basis as well as a capacity for people to do things like calling to arms and so on, as well as the capacity to dehumanise others on the basis of what they feel like is their forced obligation to. But beyond that these resources become zero-sum between communities.
It's much harder to see the differences between communities - I lost my time by the way - it's much harder to see the differences or similarities between these communities because we are so focused on helping these communities your entire life. So when they spend more and more time in that one community, the problem is that many communities get weaker and weaker over time.
And they are jotted on by the larger ones that cause hate crimes, that cause destruction, that cause war. Maybe Opening Government is right that some communities are good.
But they never allow them to compete. That's why we oppose.

 

 

DPM: Niki Angelov

No one really cares about your games. And that's okay, because you have your own communities, you have your own things to care about, you have your own particular life. The problem is that if you are able to also care about what they think, it wouldn't be, maybe, that worse. It would be significantly worse to the extent that you need position to vote for some particular perspective.
You see, life is a lottery of birth. You didn't choose where you get to be born.
So plenty of individuals, who have the most capacity and privilege to enact some change in this community, make their own choice not through this view of life in these particular cases, they remove the only chance for these communities to rise in the first place.
This is what we stand for in Opening Government. A couple of things on this. I think a lot of the frame from Rumen explains to you why on the counterbalance we do not have the tipping point from active particular change. So you might still do some things but [on our side] they are likely to take the bigger chances and bigger risk.
So this means that you taking that corporate job in a big city versus you establishing an NGO or business for your community.
You choosing to go to the pressures of actually engaging in politics versus just staying in the house and making money and doing some work for your community.
This particular narrative is the tipping point of this case. We also think we're going to do it in a smart way, meaning that you are part of this community but you are also part - and this is direct response to Opening Opposition.
You will feel like an actual human being. You still engage in globalism, you still have access to Internet, you still have access to knowledge and all these things, but you also have the ability to recognise particular wrongdoings and problematic things
that your community is particularly doing. Which means that you are in the unique position to sort these particular things out.
We want individuals to continue calling out these particular things in order for them to enact actual change inside the community.
And they may choose not to do it, but nobody else will be able to. Which means all the other people who are not in that privileged position, like the LGBT person in that religious community...there is nobody else to help these people. So gradually things are going to get worse for them and gradually they'll have no active change.
I think you have to help them. And on principle I believe that you have that particular obligation exactly because you are in a unique position. You are probably one of the few that speaks their language, one of the few that understands the particular context in the historical, political and any other sense.
Maybe some of the cases you came from a particular privilege because you are smarter than other individuals in this particular place. You are the only one who has this burden because the inherent nature of society to make sure that you do something for these people.
I am very proud to support this. More responses.
Look, in the most extreme cases we don't think this obligation goes as far as to actually willing to die for your country.
We also don't think this should go so far as to say we have to pay taxes to this community because taxation is theft. But more importantly, we still have the capacity to choose how we engage in this particular narrative based on the particular belief of the consequences but the main goal is that you do something. That you do something that you believe will help these communities and you think about this and you make the right choices on this particular basis.
You still care about you, you're still not going to put yourself in the worst position.
But we're going to engage with this narrative in an effective way.
So in happiness. I think happiness is there on our side of the house. First of all, we can uniquely achieve happiness on our side of the house through this narrative, which is important to you, because you derive your happiness from the fact that you are part of your community.
Why is this better on this side of the house?
The thing is that we get happiness on our side of the house because you get direct access to a particular meaning of your life.
On their side of the house, we don't know. Is it because you're religious or something like that?
It's far more important to derive happiness from helping other people and it makes you make the hard choices in the first place, which is extremely important. Finally on profit and incentives to create profit.
The things like states trying to counter nationalism will probably happen on both sides of the House and due to the extent to which you care about your community, at least on our side of the House, the building process is much bigger because you don't escape to the city and you don't leave the people behind that have no other options especially if you are a privileged person.
Before I continue, Opening.

 

[LO] This relies on the premise that the most extreme owe the community in the first place, when the problem is that we constantly look for people to exclude them because we constantly force obligations upon them that they can't reach.

- No, you're picking and choosing particular situations. We don't have multiple situations on our side of the house.
We don't have to defend you dying for these particular situations.
I explained to you why we have the particular obligation. Finally in this round, what matters the most is that there is the capacity for these communities to do better, and you uniquely do it only for us.
It means that when that person decides to go back in some other way, especially individuals that are different - some are big egotisticals, others are not so egotistical -
all this spectrum, especially those with previous background, because those with backgrounds are likely to see the whole picture in these scenarios, and are more likely to feel the pain. Now, knowing they are actually part of the community and feel they have an obligation so they learn more in terms of your ability to breach the equity gap between communities and understand that people need our help.
For one last time, I'm so happy to propose.

 

DLO: Tobi Leung

In the world of Proposition, unity is a fact that alienates you from your very sense of self, discourages you from discovering your own preferences, and emboldens the worst forms of tyranny.

The first thing I want to do is explain why individuals feel deeply alienated and unhappy in their world.

Because to the extent that their material is the same, that you can derive happiness from helping your community,

problem: they never say why they have the capacity to help their community. And I would suggest, in any human society, very few people will have the resources to give back to their parents, especially those in the most vulnerable and marginalised situations, where they need as a precondition to be able to be able to help, to prioritise themselves to an extent.

And this is where I flip their material. The vast majority of people fail their obligations far more often than they're able to meet them, even in the smallest ways. Most people become slaves to their job, can't pull their grind off, can't help their parents, can't vote in elections because there are other things that preoccupy them by manner of necessity. The difference is that on that side of the House, that unhappiness and intense feeling of failure you feel, as a result of everyone saying you have an obligation, intensifies.

And this is where their case falls apart, right.

Because their side assumes there is a magic pill that leads you to believe in social conditioning. The mechanisms of social conditioning remain largely the same.

This is made at legal punishments. It's in their world where communities become more harsh, become more dogmatic, and become more willing to impose stricter punishments when you have failed to meet their your obligation. So when they talk about the elderly who cannot contribute, who cannot hold a job, these are the people that society comes to resent on their side. These are the people who are more unhappy.

Look at how marginal the entirety of Proposition's case is, secondly, to all the material we gave you from David as to why alienation results. First, you aren't given the time and capacity to find your preferences.

Yes, we do need to have some motivation from your community; that doesn't mean your preferences are automatically aligned with what the community says your preferences should be. Individuals will still want time to pursue their passions.

The problem is in your world they're constantly discouraged, and are never given the avenues to explore their passions.

They aren't given things like access to education, given things like access to extracurriculars, because in their world these things are seen as distractions, rather than useful things that individuals ought pursue. Secondly, even when you find your passion, you're constantly forced to make sacrifices, you're constantly never tolerated and never given the option to voice out your own preferences. But third, because even if you are able to engage in your passions to some extent, you feel constantly burdened because you feel like the opportunity cost of not helping your community is what you're sacrificing. Take the example of an Asian child who thinks constantly that he has to help his family, he has to help his parents. Even when he genuinely enjoys playing video games, every waking moment of that means his happiness is plagued by the thought that he isn't doing enough for his community, that he's failing his obligation. And this is where the analysis from David is crucial.

Because we explain why the expectations of communities get worse in this world, why the obligations become harder and harder to meet as a result of people not being able to opt out, and communities have no profit distribution mechanism that facilitates them.

Even if you get better collective action, those people are just unhappier and that is worse.

Secondly, let's engage with OG and explain why this narrative makes communities themselves worse.

Because the entirety of OG's substantive case is that communitarianism motivates people to engage in collective action, fulfilling social obligations and do things like hold elections. The problem with this is that at no point do they explain why these are at all exclusive.

The first thing I'll point out is that self-interest can be motivate individuals to act as well.

It is possible to rely on self-interest and come to collective solutions. You want future outcomes to benefit you.

You love your parents as an individual which is why you help them. You recognize that aid for society and the economy writ large still raise your own quality of life, which is why you work towards them. And here's the kicker: it's in their world where individuals are less likely to consider what outcome is best for society because they don't view themselves as having that role and that responsibility. They believe the community is the only actor that can dictate what's best, which is why they never seek to imagine these in the first place. You are bound to what leaders tell you is the best outcome, which is why on net you actually get worse outcomes from them.

But secondly, I point out, for many of their own impacts to work you need a level of individuality.

You need to have the motivation to climb the social ladder before you can give back to your parents. You need to have the economic capacity to do things like that.

And insofar as individuals are less likely to take that step, less likely to move away, less likely to pursue a job in a different city, because they feel like they're failing that obligation, you don't get any of the benefits you yourself pander for.

But thirdly, here's where we flip it. I point out that solutions to collective action problems are both more likely to be sought out by people and better done when communities actually feel like they can benefit the individuals in question. Because Government assumes that the mechanisms by which communities decides which outcomes they work towards work towards remain the same. But that cannot be the case. Because many mechanisms we rely on in status quo, like the vote, are premised on the recognition that individuals are superior to their community. In fact, premised on the idea that their communities don't know everything.

Accountability requires a level of independent thought and requires a meaningful opt-out, which is why they cannot get their impact.

I'll give Closing.

[GW] Look, do you view debate as your community, as well as the community you were born into?

Okay, so this is where I want to flip the point of intersectionality. Communities become less polarised when people have more than one community in Opposition

for three reasons: First, because every obligation, and your ability to feel every obligation, is seen as zero-sum.

You are either your obligation to the debate community, or fulfilling it to your nationality in the instances where you compete.

Secondly, because individuals themselves are less exposed and less likely to see other communities.

Why would my parents, in a world where they think my only role is to be a servant to my community, allow me to engage in debating? Allow me to spend the holidays in Madrid rather than spend time with them?

Sorry, Dad. But thirdly, you are forced to make tradeoffs to the most immediate community because that is the one with the most power.

I want to note here: communities themselves standing is not an outcome that can win Proposition the debate insofar as they don't explain why those communities are good.

We explain why on net communities get far, far worse, which is why our material and our responses put us ahead.

Thirdly, let's talk about conflict. This argument is independently debate-winning, and we heard absolutely minimal response, which is just to say that nations have an incentive to propagate conflict and nationalism on either side.

Clearly the difference is a few things. First, it manifests in how willing people are to disengage from that conflict, and disengage from the terrible things the states are going to do to them. It manifests in how willing you are to question.

How willing you are to form counter-identities and counter-communities, to say that you are revolutionary, secede from your state, declare yourself as an independent actor rather than continue to be forced to exist in the community you were born into.

But secondly: it manifests in how willing you are to demonise other people, when you see them as fundamentally different from you.

Because you don't consider yourself as individuals, you consider yourself as part of your community, that is when you are far worse

For those reasons, oppose.

 

MG: Hadar Goldberg

 

OG - good guys - want to talk about good communities getting better.

OO want to talk about some bad communities that get worse and alienate people

and explain why communities will feel less need to serve individuals.

In our extension we're going to show how people in the counterfactual world are likely to perceive community, and what communities they are relative to identifying, meaning we will settle the question, which is more impactful?

We will show why communities still have an interest to compete for you, and why people are likely to give back to all of us rather than just an individual at the community that they might share. One piece of extraneous rebuttal, then the extension.

I want to point out something from the WUDC Judging Manual because I feel like OO should have read it.

In "This House prefers a world..." motions, there's no retrocausality. The motion gives us fiat to assume that people just believe they have obligation to their community.

This is why the retrocausality which they argue, about how the community will have to enforce it and push the narrative forcibly on you even if you don't agree with it, is something I just can't claim per the debate.

Secondly, I also want to remind that the wording of the motion is "all individuals", which extends to politicians and leaders that decide policy in the first place. We think with all this logic, it's likelier that communities in any case are incentivised or even if not incentivised believe that they should aid their own people. Cool, let's chat about what actually changes in the debate.

Quick characterisation: OO concedes in Leader of the Opposition that on both sides of the debate, people have community affiliation in addition to their self-interest because you can integrate OG by saying you still have caring for your community and that is obviously correct. Note, however, without characterising which of the incidents in which you then don't prioritise your communities, this also mitigates their own impact in the debate because it means that all the communitarian prioritisation of my own people is quite symmetric.

What are the instances in which today people prioritise themselves over their community?

  1. A) When they think the personal benefit to them is larger than what they would get from the community;

So many people also have a self-interest to care about the community because the community serves them.

But in instances when they think they could get more than from the community directly, say if i could make a crime and get away with it, a reason in which I attempted to prioritise myself.

Two crucial reasons why this goes better on our side:

A) Because some identity that is grounded in community means that hurting the community is equivalent to hurting myself. If I base my identity on my community as well, it also means that I'm less likely to hurt you. But secondly, it means that there's no need to get caught. Note: throughout most of history, we had the issue of actually enforcing laws.

Half of all murderers never see a day in prison, not to mention crimes that are much harder to prove such as rape, simply because it's really hard to deter people. It's really hard to catch them in incidents, and people have a bias to believe they won't get caught.

Under our side they don't need to get caught. Their own guilt, their own conscience, will always haunt them.

Third, when people don't know or rationalise to themselves that what they're doing isn't hurting their community because they can't read minds. So they assume that their actions are just going to benefit others even when they are actively harming them because, say, they don't know that a friend of theirs might also be part of the community because they're in the closet.

Under our side, we have a much stronger push to actually pro-actively think,

what are the implication of the actions I'm doing?

Fourthly, people think that they are bad and don't deserve that you care for them or prioritise them.

We think that under our side, you know that not just you, but everyone around you also believes in that, meaning that you know that they care for you and are going to serve you in the future.

This means you are less likely to have stigmas against people in the first place, and think they are going to care for you as well, which means that they deserve good treatment of you. Who are you likely to see as your community?

We think several crucial things: A) People have multiple communities.

When I came up to the stage, people shouted "Tel Aviv" as much as people shouted and were rooting for Sofia. However we also shouted for them, "ESL"

because it's another one of the communities we have as well. Presumably we also have some non-debating communities but these are obviously less important. We think that this means that people learn from a very young age to extend our community farther than just the one they're born in. Note how this already engages OO because communities still need to compete for you and your identity isn't locked to just one community.

If indeed as OO say, I am gay and the community doesn't accept it for some reason, in addition to the community I was born into, I also have a big gay community, which is great. Secondly, we think that people also see in the way that it manifests that it's not just about them because I also prioritise the community over myself, as everyone in the debate conceded.

This extends to the large community, not just my whole family. It means that incentive is not about proximity.

It's about much wider than that. Thirdly, we also view community in this world based on what the community does for me.

Note, the wording in the info-slide: I feel obligated to the community. It directly ties to what the community has done for me.

This is what I'm more likely to feel affiliated with me rather than just the colour of my skin.

This is what I'm likely to see as community. Opening? [LO] The big analytical gap here is that the community gets to define what our obligation is in the first place-

Here's the thing.

A) Literally everything I said is likely to be implemented by the community itself.

But the community teaches me to prioritise the community, not just myself, but my own family.

The fact that I learn to reason I should care is because of obligation.

Okay, moving on then. What are the impacts of this? Firstly, we think that this means in this world, people have significantly less stigma and racism.

Note: OO says, on both sides there is communitarianism. The difference is, today, I associated with my nationality

or my race. I am less likely to apply to things that are relevant to my obligation to them and more likely to associate with things that are about my direct identity, meaning that it's less likely to be about wider circles.

Secondly, we also get people who do less bad things, less crime in the first place, proving less active harm, not just more donations.

Thirdly, it also means people who treat each other better personally because they extend community to each individual around them, which doesn't have to go through specific societal systems that we choose for Gov.

 

MO: Isaac Cape

I think the truth of this round is that Opening Opposition has been highly worst case. And Opening Government and Closing Government have been highly best case.

It's probably unfair to imagine that communities are going to punish you massively for the types of things you decide to do on either world.

So the contribution from Closing Opposition - I know this might be a surprise at this point in the round since nobody wanted to take a POI - is that we are going to claim

A) since we've been co-opted by the American crowd that selfishness is good;

and B) we're going to deal with the best case of Opening Government and Closing Government

and explain why it's the case that these communities act, even if out of love, in ways that restrict you and prevent you from accessing choice.

We think that communities have subtle pressures that manipulate you, and mean you cannot make decisions that are in your best interest.

Opening Government and Closing Government in this round praise these communities and how many communities they're actually a part of, and yet still criticise the status quo when it's possible.

I'll do a couple of things then. First, refutation. Then a constructive argument about why these obligations are negative, even though they come from a good place, accepting the highest possible burden in this round, and explaining why it is still awful in the world of Government.

I just want to respond quickly to Closing Government then. The first thing they say is you can freely leave these communities and that is a good thing.

One, even if we accept this to be true, this hurts massively. It is very, very difficult to turn your back on community.

But the reason why they say that it is so easy for them to be able to turn their back on debating is that they don't feel this very very overwhelming sense of obligation that we think this world creates.

So it is possible to turn away but in their world it is a situation that is fundamentally traumatising and limits you.

But more than that, they say there are infinite ways to find community. The reality is, that in the status quo, you are given the capacity to define and choose which communities you are actually a part of. Because there are competing groups and there are groups that you need to set yourself apart from at any given point. You decide under one or the other because they are perceived as trade-offs, they are seen as mutually exclusive.

So with that out of the way, extension. Your obligation comes from a sense of proactive love.

Your parents aren't going to be ones that shame you endlessly every single night.

It's not gonna be the case that your friends consider you evil. I don't think this is fair. Instead, let's characterise this as the average community.

Places where there is a sense of love, places where people do in fact care about you. And they want you to succeed and they want to support you.

Why is it the case that even within the confines of these communities, you are still fundamentally excluded? Accessing the benefits of Opening Opposition but doing so in a world where they actually exist.

One, there are cultural ways in which these things are expressed. So it's for example always watching movies where characters always get back to their families or always get back to their most close communities. So fundamentally speaking then, culturally, this is a restrictive choice.

And even if we think that this choice serves a sort of utile instrumental benefit, we think that you shouldn't care at any level because we're not utility robots. We're people that derive satisfaction from making choices that benefit ourselves and our things that actually realize our own interests. To the extent that this is manipulated in their world, even socially and subtly, this is still something that's principally regrettable. Second, I think that this creates - no thanks - a strong sense of responsibility.

The reason is that it is overwhelming. You perceive it in different ways, right.

Love in their world is a very different thing. Whereas now I believe my family, in our side, is a group that loves me unconditionally. In their world that is fundamentally tied to a set of condition.

I doubt whether or not that love is something that is real. I feel like I need to give back because maybe that love runs out when I don't.

So to that extent, even if they're not telling me that, to the extent that this narrative fundamentally permeates society it is something that still overrides my decision.

Third, I think it's just the types of decision-making habits you become accustomed to. So things like making decisions that benefit your siblings at your expense.

These are very very small things but they are things that condition you to prioritise others at your own expense.

But fourthly and finally, I think that alternatives and doing other things is just consistently portrayed by the media and other groups around you as just being something that is selfish, as something that is not in the interest of the group.

It's not acting as a good human. So if it's the case that you act selfish in our world why is selfishness something that we actually think is just acceptable and is actually preferable? One, I think that having autonomy to redefine your communities and the communities you are part of is something that is uniquely accessible on our side. So you can decide which communities will benefit you, and which ones are holding you back, which is what OG and CG seem so hellbent on accessing. And this is really really good for social mobility, because we can decide which community is actually restricting you. You can decide when your conservative parents are actually holding you back and therefore you can move to another community and you don't feel the sense of backlash and internalised guilt that their side imposes. Second, even if this isn't true, people can still specialise. And specialisation is something that just makes people more effective.

You can find communities that are most beneficial. You can define yourself in relation to your professional career, for example. Or in terms of your romantic life.

These are things that allow people to do what they are best at and these are areas that you derive the greatest sense of satisfaction from because they are fundamentally rewarding. Third, it is moderated at some level by opposing narratives.

Before I explain, this, I'll take OG. [DPM] Would you save a drowning baby...

This is so random, right? It's not about the drowning baby. The claim is that there are several reasons why suddenly you're pressured.

And selfishness is something that is good. But not that this means we're going to leave the freaking drowning baby.

Why are we doing this whole best case-worst case thing? Let's just deal with what happens in 99% of scenarios. It is moderated by opposing narratives.

Again being charitable, God forbid. Okay, you moderate because there are other areas that have to exist in society

based on people telling you that you ought to care for your family, that already exists in status quo. These are all norms that exist religiously, that exist in society at large, so that neutralises the extent to which any given narrative can completely permeate your sense of existence.

But furthermore, I think this destroys the idea of community. Because you're aware of what you also opt out of, you feel like you did that to make decisions,

And that trades off with giving back at the highest level because in their society, if it's true what CG says that you abandon your community at some point or you grow to dislike them at some level that trades off with giving back, because you feel like that community actually failed you

I think leaving this community then is a precondition to doing good because maybe their choices are fixed to a sense of meaning. Why is this harmful?

A few sets of impacts. One, even if the communities actually treat you nicely, you preclude the access to multiple sets of identity.

This activates OO's material on conflict when you define yourself by your job, when you define yourself by your romantic interest.

But second, I think principally this is flawed to the extent that you probably believe that the obligation extends beyond these communities as well.

For example, to the world by processes like colonialism. But thirdly, there is a general sense of isolation that sets in in their world.

It's that you just end up spending more time with your family and these groups that are close to you at the expense of others.

So even in the best case: even though you're loved, the subtle pressures to shift you in ways that are awful, and so the best case for Gov is awful. We oppose.

 

GW: Tamar Ben Meir

First off, I have two points in my speech. I'm going to talk about how this affects individuals and I'm going to talk about how effectively they work inside the community. But before that, a few answers to Closing Opposition.

I think that what Closing Opposition misses and what Opening Opposition misses as a whole is that when people view themselves as part of a community with identity and obligation towards that community, it's not just the individual has an obligation to the community.

It is community of other individuals within that community that feel the obligation and identify with other individuals within that community as well. That means that all of their analysis on the likely reaction of this community to my desire for change and how it's likely to keep you within the community is false.

Because other individuals in my community see my pain. If they identify with it, if they feel like my pain then they're less likely on your side of the House to be more open to adapting in order to make me accepted.

This means that Closing Opposition's framing of the fact that it's more traumatising to be with the community on my side I think is actually false at the end of the day. Because when Hadar gives you analysis on how communities view themselves, and the circle of communities and how people relate to each other, this proves that on our side, because the rest of the community feels like it is obligated to you as well, that is where you're more likely to adapt you're more likely to accept you branching out and all of those things. But moreover, we think today communities act that way because of the selfishness of individuals, because of the knowledge that other individuals prioritise themselves over the community.

So leaving the community is likely to harm them. By explaining to you the exact situation in which today, people prioritise themselves over the community, and that's exactly what we are doing on the other side, that is where we showed you that communities are likely to react differently.

Even if OG said similar words our explanation of the impacts and how these impacts help communities relate to the individuals within the community is unique to our side and significantly more engaging with the claims coming out of Opposition than on Opening Government.

But secondly the case from Closing Opposition for trying to run a principle that you're allowed to be selfish, when I don't think they prove that with additional analysis they need to make. Here's what I think is not true. We think that there is a balance.

You're allowed to prioritise yourself as long as the harm you're causing to other people doesn't overweigh that. I think what Hadar showed you by showing you where people prioritise themselves today and why it's likely to change shows that's exactly where the balance sits. Because people prioritise themselves in cases like crime, in cases like corruption, in cases where you are prioritising yourself significantly.

That's why I think Closing Opposition are now out of this debate. Let's talk about the quality of life of individuals.

What do Opening Government want? Opening Government wants people to do more for their community.

Things like material needs and having a sense of relief from helping their community.

Opening Opposition tells you that today, individuals who want to help their community in order to help themselves, also have an incentive to do many of these things. So I have an incentive, just selfishly, to build schools and to donate and to do all those things.

What is Hadar's unique contribution to this question and why is it important? We don't show you the additional benefits people might have by paying one more school or something like that. We show you that today, the specific places where people prioritise themselves over the community are places which cause active harm to other people. These are places where people commit crimes against other people within the community in order to help themselves. This is where the trade-off between individualism and community happens.

When the actions that we're taking aren't actually a benefit to yourself as a community but rather actually is that they only benefit yourself. This means that we're showing on our side we get significantly less of this active harm.

Why do we think that less of this active harm is the important thing? It's because we think that less of this active harm is what leads to more people within the community having access to do the good things that people have the incentive to do anyways today

Even if people have an incentive to build schools today, when I'm only prioritising myself at the expense of other people

not everyone has access to it. If I know that people are going to commit crimes instead of going to class

or just ruin the building that I'm donating I'm less likely to do it in the first place. That means we show you both an expansion of impacts that Opening Government say themselves because people aren't only doing things for themselves but for the rest of their community.

But also show you why it's logically prior that these people, that other people within the community are going to harm them

if other people in the community are going to take away or mitigate or minimize the benefits that I am sacrificing for, I am less likely to do them in the first place. Where does this put us in relation to Opening Opposition? Opening Opposition says that communities are bad and arbitrary and get worse because they're not accepting of change. What did we show you?

We showed why the explanation of the counterfactual of being more tolerant is symmetric because there is still competition, that's what Hadar has showed you, but also their claim on the narrative is actually less likely because of what I told you about the sense of obligation in those ways. That means that the competitive incentive means that

I don't want to be humiliated. I don't want to make people feel bad within my community. I want to make them feel good within my community so that they don't go to another one. That is their material that symmetrically exists on both sides. But also the fact that other individuals within the community also feel bad when I give punishment towards others. They also feel bad when they make other people feel bad about having feelings because I also that then when something happens to me that is also when individuals are less likely to do that, flipping your case and making it more likely under our side. Before I continue, I'll take Closing.

[MO] When you force people to give back society minimises policies like welfare. Why isn't this all comparatively worse access

- There are some communities that say you should also give back to your community. We agree with that.

What we're saying is that the specific cases in which the individual prioritise themselves happen significantly less on our side leading to significantly more positive outcome. That means that you have actually more choice in the community that will accept them and in addition people have more access to the needs that they have in that community meaning they're less likely to want to opt out in the first place because the community will help them towards that.

What is the impact on conflict and behaviour towards other communities? We think that OG don't talk about this at all.

And Opening Opposition push to say when communities prioritise themselves over others that's exactly when we become racists in conflicts right now.

But we think that they don't engage with the fact that the origin for conflict isn't just I care more about my community.

It's when I actively have to fight for resources over other communities and can't share.

That is when I have an incentive to tell other communities that they're bad and can't have access. When we show you that more people have access that communities are better overall that we have less harm we also show you that there's less stigma towards other communities, less legitimising the actions against them, but also less fighting for resources that will cause the outbreak of conflict in the first place. For those reasons, please propose.

 

 

ディベートリソース集

 

自分が昔もっと早く誰かに教えてもらいたかった情報リストです。

以下のリソースにアクセスできるだけで相当ディベート伸びると思います。

 

(※掲載しているコンテンツの所有者の承諾を一切取っていません。本当にごめんなさい。載せないで欲しい、言い方を変えて欲しい等要望があれば遠慮なくご連絡下さい。)

 

ディベートコンテンツ

以下、リソース(音源やレクチャー)を上手に使うことの重要性について、主観的意見を述べます。これにもし納得せずバルバロイだと思ったら信じないで下さい。

(僕の考える)本質情報は、ディベートって経験者ゲーです。

理由は単純明快で、経験者はモーションを見たらある程度昔似たようなモーションをやったことがあったりして、それをベースにケースを立てたり、過去の記憶を頼りに瞬時に反論が思いついたりするからです。所謂老害と呼ばれる社会人ディベーター(時々目も当てられないほど害な方もいらっしゃいますが、大多数が超絶良い人で益なので、老益とでも呼びましょうか)の方々がBPのPMで、準備時間15分なのに綺麗にケースを立てるのはその人の知能レベルが飛び抜けているとかではなくて、頭の中に過去の経験という、いわば事前に準備した原稿があるからですよね。

勿論英語力や知識量には個人差があるので一概には言えませんが、全ディベーターが全く同じ練習をしたとしたら、長くやった奴が勝ちます。

時間は限られているので、できるだけ練習に時間を割くというのは当たり前ですが、その中で同学年だけでなく年上にも勝って一つ上を行くには、効率的な練習方法について考える必要があります。

初心者4人で集まってNAの試合をすることと海外のトップレベルの大学生ディベーターの試合を観ることと、どっちの方が効率がいいかという話です。これは流石に極端だし、初心者にトップレベルの音源見せても分からねえだろと言われたらそれまでですが、明らかに後者の方が勉強の効率はいいですよね。

 

ここで述べている経験で得られることは大きく2通りあります。

1つ目がディベート特有の評価軸、議論に慣れること。

これはひたすら大会に出て格上に当たることが大事です。部内戦みたいに内輪でばかり練習するのはあまり意味がないです。楽しいからやるならそれは自由ですが、やっぱ勝ちたくないか。なので、特に海外大会で揉まれることが大事です。参考になることがあると思います。

そしてこれと同じくらい大事なのが、音源を観ることです。トップはこういう風にディベートするんだと何となくの雰囲気が掴めます。後半スピーカーで争点のまとめ方とか反論の仕方とか。

 

2つ目がケースを立てるための事前知識です。

事前知識の習得は2パターンあって、

1つ目は音源を観ること

音源やレクチャーは、実績をあげていて経験の豊富な人の知恵を拝借できる貴重なリソースだと思います。どうやって他のモーションでも使えるかなと考えながら聞くことが大事です。僕はあまり記憶力がよくないので、良さそうな音源は2, 3回聞いて脳内の記憶に無理矢理定着させました。学校の行き帰りも聞いていた時期がありました。流石にやりすぎですね。

実例とかのリサーチに関しては、動画で出てきた例を調べてwikiを読んで大事そうならメモする、くらいだったので、ディベートで使える知識のみを抽出した感じです。

 

2つ目は社会一般の言説を知ること。

ニュース記事や本を読むことで得られる知識のことです。評論家紛いの人が例えば「Me tooは果たして成功だったのか」とか「アフガニスタンの首都陥落について」とかを語ってますよね。何か問題がないところにディベートは発生しないので、その問題とそれに関する意見を収集するのにこれは有用です。ただ、ディベートで強い議論と実社会で強い議論にはかなりの乖離があるので注意。

とはいえ、活字を読むことが嫌な怠惰な僕は殆どニュース記事や本を読んでいません。めんどい。音源とかレクチャーの方がそのまま使えるし楽だったのでね。

 

Argumentの考える速度に関してはコツコツプレパ練をすることが必要ですが、WSDCは準備時間60分あるのでこれは要らないでしょう。

語り終わり

---

ということで要は音源とレクチャーが大事です。

ようやく、コンテンツ紹介します。

1. ありとあらゆるオンライン上のレクチャー動画が載っているスプレッドシート

これはホントに作った人えぐい。

docs.google.com

2. オーストラリアの団体がFacebookにあげていた音源/レクチャー/その他リソース集 

Imogen Harper, James Stratton, Bostan Nurlanovは神なので彼らの出ている音源を観るのがおすすめ。YouTubeに載っていないものが殆どなので、マターをパクってもジャッジにバレないのが最高()

Matter Resources: https://tinyurl.com/adc-matter-resources
Method Resources: https://tinyurl.com/adc-method-resources
Adjudication Resources: https://tinyurl.com/adc-adj-resources
Great Debate Recordings: https://tinyurl.com/adc-great-debates
Miscellaneous Resources: https://tinyurl.com/adc-public-resources

 

3. ディベートブログ

↓これ、高1のまだargument思いつくのが精一杯の時期に読んでいた。量がレベチで全部読めば大半のモーションでargumentに困らなくなる。

youjin2237.hatenablog.com

天才ディベートGODのブログです。お察しの通りこの資料も神です。

verflucht.hatenablog.com

 4. YouTube上音源

WUDC, WSDC, HWS Round Robin, EUDCといった有名な国際大会の名前に年度をつけて検索すると何かしらヒットするので、それを見ましょう。

できるだけここ数年の動画を見た方がいいです。特にWSDCは昔になるほど地雷音源が多いので、なんなら2019〜21の3年間だけを優先して見る方がいいくらい。

※2021年のWSDCの動画は公式facebookページに載っています。

5. 海外大会に出る際

特に来年もWSDCはオンラインだと思うので、またPanda divisionとHegel divisionみたいに予選はアジアと欧米で分かれると思います。アジア圏(インド・マレーシア・フィリピン等)のジャッジが相当数いるので、アジアの国のリサーチは絶対にした方がいいと思います。というのも僕含め日本人は先進国のcontextでディベートをしがちですが、相手が途上国のcontextメインにargumentを出してきたときに、そもそも話があわずパラレルになって、ジャッジの主観で勝ち負けが決まるケースが結構多いです。そうなると負けてしまう可能性が結構高いし、途上国の話を一蹴すると特に相手が途上国出身のチームのときに相当悪く見えます。実力以外の理由で負けないためにも、インド・パキスタン・マレーシア・フィリピン・シンガポールミャンマーあたりは、調べると意外に面白いのでリサーチしておくことを強くお勧めします。

各種情報 (大会情報等)

1. Underbridge氏

どうやら本名は橋本ではないらしい。

Twitterとブログで大会等の情報発信をしてくださっている方です。

さらには今回の論題解説の記事にご協力頂きました。神です。フォローしましょう。

underbridge-engdeb.hatenablog.com

twitter.com

2. ディベート大会等スケジュール表

docs.google.com

3. Facebook上での大会情報

国際大会に関しては、Debating Seriousposting/ Asia Debating/ Japan Debatersと検索かけてみてください。このグループに定期的に大会/レクチャー/その他イベントの情報が流れているので参加しておくのがおすすめ。

 

 

WSDC2021 論題解説⑤ -真珠湾攻撃-

ついに、決勝トーナメントのことが書けます。予選長かった。。。

ということで若干不適切なタイトルからも分かる通り、決勝トーナメント初戦(Partial Double Octo, 以下PDO)はHegel divisionで予選4位のアメリカでした。

 

結果から言うと、split 1-2でしたが、負けてしまいました。歴史は繰り返す。

 

ライブ配信アーカイブが残っていて、こちらから観れます。

https://www.facebook.com/688025308295069/videos/543556700183532/

観てもらえば分かると思うんですけど、僕ら勝ってるよね? Closeなのは認めるけど勝ってます。ただ、アメリカにvoteした2人のジャッジのRFDを聞いた限り、アメリカが勝ったとしても不服ではないなとは思えました。でも勝ってます。(絶対バイアスかかってる)

 

せっかくなので、試合中の僕の心境も。

全部正直に書きます。一切煽りはないです。

 

PM、さあ、せなのスピーチが始まりました。イケボ低音ボイスに加え、いつものBo Seoオマージュ謎イキリイントロが炸裂!しなくてちょっと動揺したものの、早速'Rejuvenation'とかいう訳分からないイキった単語を使い始めて、ここから安心して聞けました。いつも通り、ナイスコンストでした。

LO、プレパで想定していたケースがそのまま出てきて、ニヤけてました。

DPM、100点満点なら自分の中では70点くらいのスピーチ。可もなく不可もなく。もっと自分たちのコンストを伸ばすべきでした。

DLO、めっちゃ老けて見えない?w人生経験豊富そう。

誰かにDPM(僕)とDLO、親子くらい年齢が離れてる風に見えるって言われました。辛いけど否めない。

このおばはんお姉さん結構良いこと言ってて、反論いいしPositive materialのフレームの仕方もいいしGWから反論しないとやばいって若干焦ってました。

GW、しゅーへい、いつものカリフォルニア在住の女子大学生を想起させるようなアクセントとともにスピーチが始まります。Naomi Panovkaに話し方が若干似てるって言われてます。基本全部反論返してたし、コンストのマターのclarificationもナイスだった。それにしても普段ずっとヘラヘラしてふざけてるのにスピーチだとこうも真面目になるの、人間って不思議ですね。

OW、あんまりマターなかった。Replyの原稿を書きながら聞いていたけど、自分たちのコンストを再強調する方が大事だと思ったのでOWの話は殆ど無視しました。

Replyはまあはい。

 

WSDCはチーム5人なので、追加で試合に出てないメンバーの2人についても(勝手に)コメントします。

ともやはまさしく、筑駒がイキリと(最低限一時期は)言われていた所以です。顔がイキってます。あと、彼と同じ部屋に泊まっていたんですが、「明日朝9時に起きる」とか言っておきながら素知らぬ顔で6時にアラームをセットして、当の本人は全く起きずに僕だけ睡眠時間を削られることが頻繁にありました。意味わかんなくない???

このままだとただの悪口になってしまうので、補足をすると、彼とは一番長い期間チームを組んできてて、中3ではPDA中学生大会優勝してHPDU中学生大会では二人ともスピーカースコアが同じなのに標準偏差で何故か僕だけBest speakerを取ったり、高1, 2と2年連続HPDU優勝して、結構いいコンビだったでしょ(自慢)。まあ僕なんかは高1のときTSO(当時TDO)とかSAD IV(果たして復活するんでしょうか)とかでブレイク落ちをかましているので、優勝はたまたまですね。

 

ゆーとは、初対面の印象は真面目・誠実・礼儀正しい好青年という、まさしく日本の政治家があるべき姿が投影されていますが、実はこいつバリバリ猫被ってます。本性はヤバいやつです。このギャップがめちゃめちゃ面白いんですけど、コンプラ上どういう方面でヤバいやつかは言えません。ご想像にお任せします。 

 

 

 

以上、醜いところをお見せしました。

タイトル通り論題解説を書きます。

 

[Partial Double Octo Finals]

In times of economic crises, THBT the government should withhold information that is likely to damage market confidence.

(経済危機の際、本院は、政府が市場の信頼を損なう可能性がある情報を公表すべきでないと信じる)

 

予選にファンキーなモーションが多かっただけに、割と古典なのがきて拍子抜けしました。Economics割と得意なんだけど一番無知なEconomic crisisについての論題がきて、若干焦りつつもargumentを考えることに。

 

・どんなinformationがmarket confidenceをdamageするんでしょう。

・Economic crisesからいち早く抜け出すためには何をすればいいのでしょうか。

・なんかKDOで似たようなモーションやったんだよな。どんなargument立てたっけ。

・相手はどうせしょうもないPrincipleを立ててくるんだろうな。時間の無駄なのに。

とか考えていました。

ということで、1つ目にPrinciple、2つ目にEconomic crisisをいち早く抑えrecoveryに持っていく話をしました。

まずはPrincipleから、

結局はこのディベートをPracticalに落としたいだけで、BPとかAsianの大会なら絶対にこんなargumentは立てませんが、WSDCはPrinciple大好きなジャッジが多いので、とりあえず立てました。

1つ目にPrincipleあるあるの"This is an extension of what we already do in the SQ"ってやつです。政府が国民に情報を非公開にしたり偽情報を開示するケースを考えます。一番シンプルなのは軍とか外交に関する機密情報。

2つ目に、Economic crisisの中だとutility calculusが普段と変わります。貧困層が苦しんだり、大量の失業者が出たりするわけです。Right to informationよりこっちの方が大事だよね=このディベートではpracticalが最も大事に帰結させます。これで安心してpracticalを立てます。

 

このモーションとの関連性は低いですが、Crisis系だとこんな音源があります。Lee Chin Wee(DLO)のワードチョイスえぐいて。

https://www.facebook.com/108611058043628/videos/1229008047557413/

 

続いて本題のEconomic crisisからのrecoveryについて。

この音源からヒントを得てケースを立てました。OGです。

youtu.be

Economic crisisが長引く and/or 深刻になる理由に、Market panicがあります。人々が銀行に駆け込んで預金を引き出したり、投資家が投資を急に取りやめたり。コロナが始まってすぐトイレットペーパーが足りなくなるという噂が流れて不安になってトイレットペーパーを買い占める人が沢山いましたよね。あれと一緒。要はCollective action problemです。みんなが銀行の預金を引き出そうとしたら銀行潰れますよね。

この、Economic crisisが起こってすぐの段階から発生する非合理的な人々の行動に早い段階で対処するために、政府が経済動向の予測データを改ざんして大丈夫だ!と安心感を与えることで、正常な経済活動を発生させるという話です。

あとは、Market panicってどういつどこで起きるのか、不確定要素が大きいので、central bankが対応しづらいし、効果のある対策を練りづらいですよね。この不確定要素を減らすことで、このモーション以外の政府の対応策をMore effectiveにするとも言いました。

あとは、コンストでは政府が嘘をついていたことがバレないというのをOppへのpre-emptionとして話したはず。

 

まあそんな感じです。詳しくはアーカイブをご覧ください。

 

日本チーム史上初の決勝トーナメント戦でしたが、これが史上最後とならないように後輩の皆さんは僕らの屍を超えて活躍してください!

何個か記事を更新したので、暇な時読んで頂ければ幸いです。

WSDC2021 論題解説④ -遂にバブルラウンド-

  • 即興ラウンド(Round 2,4,6,8)のケースは僕がメインで作っていたので、どういうケースをどのような思考プロセスで出したのか覚えている範囲で書こうと思います。
  • 準備ラウンド(Round 1,3,5,7)のうちRound 3のケースのみ僕がメインで作っていたので、即興ラウンド同様のことを書こうと思います。その他の論題に関しては、手伝った部分もありますが、僕の勝手なケース解釈が混じっているかつあまり詳細に書けないかもしれません。
  • 即興ラウンドの思考法に関しては、僕はおそらく他の人とかなり違った方法でケースを考えているので参考になるかは分かりません。詳しくはRound 2の解説の欄に書いてあります。

 

今年のWSDCは予選は1日2試合・全4日8試合で、決勝トーナメント進出(以下ブレイク)には5試合勝つことが必要です。(また、ブレイクの十分条件でもあります。)

3日目が終わった段階で4勝2敗だったので、あと1試合、Round 7かRound 8に勝てばブレイクという状況でした。

いや〜Round 7負けた時は本当に焦りましたよ。また今年もブレイク落ちするかもって。そこも含め読んで頂ければ。

[Round 7 (Prepared)]

〈Hegel、Panda共通〉THBT developing countries should prioritise import substitution industrialisation over export oriented industrialisation.

(本院は、発展途上国は輸出志向型の産業化よりも、輸入代替型の産業化を優先すべきであると信じる)

 

ちょっとこのモーションの意味が分からない人が大半だと思うので補足しておきます。

 

Export driven industrialisation は大きく2種類あって、

1つ目に途上国自身がイニシアチブを取って工業化を目指す場合

マレーシアが国産の車を製造するためにProtonっていう企業を作って莫大な投資をした(これはどちらかというと失敗例)のとか、台湾だと半導体産業、韓国だと漁業の輸出で儲けたお金をHyundai, Samsung, LGあたりに投資してグローバルな巨大企業にまでしたり、こういうイメージです。

2つ目に多国籍企業外資メインで経済開発が進む場合

インドとか中国が多国籍企業を誘致した結果、現地の従業員が技術を習得したりシンプルに大量の雇用が作られたり、色々あって経済発展したみたいなケースのことです。

です。これ相互排他的かつ網羅的という訳ではありませんが、分かりやすい気がします。

ちなみに資源を輸出するのはそもそもindustrialisationに入らなさそうなので除きます。

 

次に、Import substitution industrialisationについて、

要は保護貿易政策を取りつつ現地の企業に投資をして、生活必需品を国内で全部生産するようにすることです。

ロシアとか昔(まだ経済的に比較的豊かだったとき)のラテンアメリカ諸国とかがやっていたっぽいです。あとは中国はdeveloping countryではないですが、米中貿易戦争後に中国がこっちに舵を切って今膨大なお金を国内企業に絶賛投資中です。

 

だいぶ疲れてきました。ひとまずPMの原稿を貼っておきます。

---

Intro:
For developing countries, the mere likeliness or possibility of growth that is associated with the idea of competing in the global market, is an illusion that makes them take an irreversible risk. Import substitute industry necessarily provides the gradual and stable growth which secures an independent economy, proud to propose.


2 arguments in my speech

1st argument: Why export oriented industry is likely to fail
2nd argumemt: Why Import substitute Industry is likely to succeed

Before that, a couple of

Set up
Import Substitution Industrialization or ISI looks like a couple of things
Tariffs and quotas in order to limit the influx of foreign products
Preferential treatment to local companies, such as subsidies, tax-cuts, and reduction in corporate loans
- The process of the government determining which corporation to invest in will include for example 3rd party institutions orchestrating initial and intermittent checks after government investment
Governments will actively encourage local entrepreneurship through tax-breaks, subsidies, so on
Export Oriented Industrialization or EOI looks like the concentration of capital in one industry, like textile or manufacturing industries . That’s what opp must defend in todays debate.
Transition to ISI will be gradual, i.e., based on the capacity of developing countries to shift its economic structures.
The products that are going to be produced would change gradually. We will start off with simple everyday necessities such as clothes or sanitary products, and as countries gain economic development and technology, they are likely to transition to more advanced products such as vehicles like motors, construction cars, so on.

Moving on to

1st argument: Why export oriented industry is likely to fail

There are 2 types of context in which export oriented industry is likely to fail

1st context: LDC like Laos
2nd context. Developing countries currently growing like Indonesia

1st context: Least developing countries

What do these countries look like?

- These are countries that significantly lack infrastructure, lack a sufficient energy supply such as water and electricity. They are also extremely unstable due to suffering from conflict, political instability, so on. These countries are ones with a significantly low GDP like Laos or Cambodia, or majority of African nations and also small countries in the Americas.

These countries can only conduct EOI in two ways

We are going to prove that either are likely to fail.

a. Scenarios in which governments takes lead
- this looks like governments of these destitute nations investing in domestic corporations and these corporations exporting products in the global market.
- This model is likely to fail because of the lack of technology that exists in these countries, given they don’t have much capital they can invest in things like R and D.
- Moreover, these countries don’t have ability to receive funds from financial insitutions like banks, given they lack trust.
- A lack of branding and trust also results in the inability to compete against other global corporations given they have to establish an entire new market.

b. Foreign multinational companies takes lead

- This looks like these developing countries inviting foreign MNCs to operate business such as what China did in Special economic Zones in the late 20th century.
- In order to attract foreign MNCs, they must have some reason to enter despite the lack of infrastructure and weak economy.
- Therefore, developing countries must provide specialties like giving them subsidies and exempting taxes.
- In order to execute such policies, you necessarily need sufficient financial capital. To gather capital, these developed countries must increase tax, borrow money from extremely high interest financial institutions since they don’t have trust, or print a lot of money in their country.
- Given the economy is already unstable at the start, This significantly harms the people on the ground, as it is likely to lead to inflation like in Zimbabwe with its mass economic crisis.

What we proved to you under this context is that in extremely underdeveloped countries, export oriented industries is highly likely to fail, which induces economic failure and mass unemployment

This analysis is extremely important in this debate because in these countries where millions of people are living in poverty, export oriented industry failing has the biggest immediate impact of people dying.

2nd context: Developing countries which are currently growing

- As opposed to extremely less developed countries, developing countries which are growing such as Indonesia and India have, to an extent, sufficient infrastructure and resources, thus foreign MNCs have incentive to come in.
- Even in this case, export oriented industry is likely to fail because it becomes a mono culture industry in which the developing country focuses on one particular industry, like Indonesia relying on the export of Palm oil
- You are unable to diversify industries because establishing a whole new industry costs mass amounts of money which is over the capacity of developing countries.

- This monoculture export oriented industry is bad for 2 reasons.

1. Extremely unstable

Relying on one industry makes your entire economy contingent on the amount of demand of that product or whether there is an economic crisis, whether there is an outbreak of disease like COVID, if the relationship you have with the country you rely on gets worse, the country you relied on changes political stance to protectionists, so on.
This means your profit is extremely unstable and fails if just one factor has large influence on your industry

2. Other countries can hold leverage over you

For instance, if you rely on the export of a particular product to the US, US is able to leverage this politically against you and then try to get negotiations and trade deals that is beneficial for themselves.
This looks like bad trade condition, high tariffs which hurts the capacity of your export
The implication here is that you have no choice but to accept these conditions that harm your trade

What is the impact of this argument

- In every context of developing countries, we have proven to you that Export Oriented Industry is highly likely to fail
- Once it fails, there is massive harm because the developing countries that I talked about don’t have the capacity to withstand the risk given they don’t have a sophisticated safety net structure such as welfare.
- As a result, there is massive damage to people on the ground i.e. unprecedented amounts of unemployment, market obliteration
- Rather than this massively risky industry, we would note that ISI, which is a lower risk industry is rather better which I will be proving in our next point.

2nd argument: Why Import substitute Industry is likely to succeed
★The thesis under this is that ISI is structurally likely to grow and succeed on our side of the house

3 reasons

Products cater to the needs of citizens better
- This is bc in developing countries the expections and standard of life is relatively low.
- People living in Nigeria or Ethiopia don't demand to purchase high quality luxuries like silk but rather daily basic commodities such as toothbrushes and everyday clothing.
- In those instances, people don’t demand high quality products like in the global market which EOI necessarily has to compete in.

Domestic industries are likely to thrive
In contrast to EOI, ISI doesn’t require battling with rich foreign companies because we conduct protectionist policies such as imposing tariffs on foreign products, meaning it’s easier to sell domestic products.
- Even if there is competition between domestic companies, that's a positive outcome given the competition mechanism means these corporations need to make more cost-efficient and innovative products, like smartphones which is a benefit to citizens.

Domestic markets accrue stable demand
The fact that there is a constant, growing population in developing countries, means there is a large, consistent demand for everyday commodities.
Developing countries are likely to produce necessities that people are going to utilize in their daily lives that people need no matter what. eg. motorcycles in places like Thailand and Indonesia which are a fundamental part of transportation
Therefore, ISI is unlikely to fluctuate in profit and encounter sudden instability as EOI.

What is the impact of this.
- On our side of the house, we get certainty within the economy that we develop.
- ISI is not contingent on Chinese or US economic growth, not contingent on the economic conditions of external countries because people have incentive to buy the product in domestic markets.
- The reason certainty is important for these countries is because at the point in which it fails, they don’t have a sufficient safety net such as welfare.
- So even if economic development is slower compared to side opposition, steady economic growth with little risk of failing does not starve the most vulnerable people on the ground.
- On our side, they can at least secure food, shelter and clothes.

At the end of the day, we stabilize and ensure the independence of the economy of developing country, and that is why we are so proud to stand for import substitute industrialization.

---

はい。こんな感じです(職務放棄)。

 

こんな長い英語の原稿なんて読むわけねーだろという方も多いと思うので、

TL;DR: Least developing countries cannot successfully build an industry that can win against the competition in the global market. The only way they can industrialise is to have an industry that can most certainly win in the local competition but perhaps with low returns.

export driven industrialisationは正直リスクが高すぎます。ナイジェリアの自動車産業トヨタに勝てると思いますか?特に貧困な国ほど絶対失敗します。失敗すると、healthcareとか基本的なインフラすら整っていない国の住民は苦しみますよね。なので、成功の蓋然性の高さを比べたら(「可能性の高さ」ではありません!可能性はあるかないかなので、高い低いは誤用です。これは人の常識の有無をみる良いリトマス試験紙になります。みたいなことを林修が言ってました。僕は勿論本を全く読まない非常識人なので知りませんでした泣)関税かけて他国企業を排斥した状態で現地の人が使う製品、つまり絶対売れるもの、を作る現地企業に投資するimport substitution industrialisationの方が圧倒的に有能です。

要はリスクを避けましょうスタンスです。

似たような話をこの音源で僕の大先輩の方がされているので刮目してください。争点は70〜80%同じなので、こんなモーション解説読まずにこれ見た方がいいかもと思ってしまいました。

youtu.be

Oppケースについては下に書きます。

Bangladesh戦について

(Prop) Japan vs (Opp) Bangladesh

1-2 で負け

 

今大会史上一番緊張しました。ほんとにえぐ緊張していた。

バングラはWSDCブレイク常連なので割と強いのも知っていたし、Round 8がバブルになるのは精神的にきついのでここで勝たなきゃという責任感が強かったのかもしれません。

バングラはLOがめちゃめちゃ上手くてDPMだったので焦りました。ヤベー反論思いつかねえってなりました。今大会唯一満足いく反論ができなかった回です。ほんと実力不足を痛感して、チームメイトには表情に見せなかったけどめちゃめちゃ落ち込んでました。

ただバングラはLO上手かったものの、DLO, OWと後半スピーカーは残念って感じでした。Prepared motionだったからコンストがガチだった説は若干ありますが、とはいえあっぱれ。

LOケースを紹介します。記憶の範囲内なのでこれだけだと強いケースじゃないじゃんってなるかもしれませんが悪しからず。

反論も含めてメインで4つあって(それぞれ3, 4つ分析がついていますがそこまで覚えてないので略)、

1. EOI(Export oriented) is less prone to corruption as it requires less government intervention

→ Less economic efficiency for ISI (Import substitution)

2. EOI will succeed as developing countries can provide cheap labour and resources

3. EOI is less risky. ISI depends on the local political climate in which political crises, natural disasters, and local economic crises often occur. By contrast, EOI can diversify risk by exporting to multiple different countries.

4. EOI helps poor ppl as it (MNCs) gives critical skill sets to local ppl. On the contrary, many poor ppl are locked in unskilled labour under ISI.

シンプルで分かりやすいだけに反論も難しいです。。。勿論今思い返せば沢山反論思いつくけど。

余談ですが、Oppにとって最も最適な例がバングラで、バングラは衣料品の輸出に成功して経済発展をしていて、絶対バングラの例使ってくるからその反論考えよってことになってチーム総出でバングラドキュメントを作って反論用マターを詰め込んでいました。努力も虚しく、結局、本番ではバングラの例はあまり使われませんでした。。。

WSDCって国対抗なので、相手の国を例に出してドヤ顔をするという若干意地悪だけど争いを生まない程度の平和なネタができます。2020年はベトナムにドヤ顔でベトナムの例を使ったら、POIでベトナムの例は不適切だって反論されて、焦りつつもWikipediaで見た用語を使って「ベトナムドイモイ政策ってのは1980年代は云々」って知ってる風を装って乗り切った記憶があります。エモいな。

 

[Round 8(Impromptu)]

〈Hegel〉THW prioritize government funding for Indigenous art & artisans working in contemporary artistic disciplines (ex: electronic music, performance art) instead of those Indigenous artisans practicing more "traditional" disciplines (ex: beadwork, carvings).

(Context: Many countries around the world provide funding targeted to Indigenous art and artists so that they can both preserve and develop Indigenous culture. These financial supports can take the form of bursaries, grants, program funding, or direct financial support of the artist. However, Indigenous artists working in more contemporary music, art, theatre, etc. complain that they're overlooked in funding allocations in favour of artisans who create works of art seen as more 'traditionally/stereotypically Indigenous.")

(本院は、「伝統的な」方法を取っている(ビーズ細工、彫刻など)先住民族の芸術家よりも、現代的な方法を取っている(電子音楽、パフォーマンスアートなど)先住民族の芸術・芸術家に対する政府の資金提供を優先する)

※Context Slideの和訳は省略

 

Hegelのモーションはほんと「知るかよこんなの」みたいなモーションばっかりですね。Propが何をしたいのか理解に苦しみますね。Majorityからの評価を上げるなら変えない方がオリジナリティーとか神秘性が出ていいだろうし、文化大事そう。

流石にこれ以上何もないとまずいので、Artモーションの音源だけ。

Artモーション謎だけど大体普通のディベートと似たようなmechanismに落ち着くので焦る必要はないです。

COよき

youtu.be

 

〈Panda〉THBT Indigenous people charged with crimes should be tried and sentenced in accordance with the customs of their Indigenous community, instead of a non Indigenous justice system (i.e. state/federal/provincial courts).

(本院は、犯罪を告発された先住民族の人々は、地方/州/連邦裁判所などの先住民族のものではない司法制度ではなく、先住民族の慣習に従って裁かれ判決を受けるべきであると信じる)

 

ほぼこれですね。このPMパクれば勝てるよね。ケースが綺麗。

youtu.be

実際はケースの中身を覚えてなかったのでパクれなかったんですけどね

他にも、前日にチームメイトの某S.K.と音源鑑賞会をやったときにたまたま見た音源が参考にできそうだったので、S.K.は鼻水を垂らしながら興奮していました。ワロタ

本人がこれを読んでないと信じる。

ちなみにその音源はこちら。MGスピーチ。

youtu.be

 

Propです。

そもそも先住民族の慣習と現行の司法制度で違う判決になるのってどんな場合でしょうか。

殺人罪はどちらの基準でも厳しく裁かれます。

アボリジニのalcoholic cultureによる飲酒運転や未成年飲酒、Usage of recreational drugs to connect with ancestorsみたいな感じ(だと僕らは思っています)。

Oppに有利な例で言えば、Honour killingとかFGMですかね。これらは僕らからはノーコメントで、向こうが言ったら対処するくらいに考えていました。

 

それではTwo arguments. 1つ目、Principle。2つ目、Practical。

Principleから。

色んなことが言えます。

Principleから。

5つのことを話しました。まじでこういうPrinciple大好き。これめっちゃジャッジに褒められました。我ながら割とクオリティー高い。

1) Justice is about what ppl believe to be fair. だからこそ選挙で勝った政治家が法律を決める。ただこのIndigenous communityとMainstreamのMajorityが求めるものは全然違うので、Indigenous community内で裁きの方法を決めれるべき

2) The way we determine punishment is based on moral culpability. どの程度のagencyがあって犯罪をしたのかを結構考慮します。だからこそ精神衰弱者には刑罰がない場合もある。じゃあIndigenous communityはなんでagencyなしに犯罪をするのでしょうか。ここで上手くDurham IVのArth MishraのPMスピーチをパクれます。(Crimes of impulseの話は面倒なので入れずに、)純粋に子供の頃からずっとIndigenous communityのmoral codeを教えられて、西洋化された社会に少しは触れていたとしても、価値判断が異なっているだろうし、特にUsage of recreational drugs to connect with ancestorsの場合、もし使わなかったら狭いコミュニティー内での社会的死を意味します。絶対Moral culpabilityないやん。

3) Current court system was created by the state. The majority of indigenous communities, at the point of creation of the nation-state, never had the choice to leave control from the state. ネイティブアメリカンなりマオリなり、勝手に西洋人が来て政府を立てて法律を作って裁判所を設置して、裁き始めただけで、consentを一切していないので、自分たちの価値観に基づいて自分たちの司法制度を作る権利が存在します。

4) Court system in the SQ is deeply biased against indigenous ppl. イメージ的には、ブラジルで多国籍企業先住民族の居住地をブルドーザーでぶっ壊しても殆ど刑罰を受けない。これは過激な例過ぎますが、裁判官の殆どは先住民族のことをよく知らない金持ちボンボンのMajority出身です。Lived experienceが違い過ぎて、無意識にもバイアスがかかっているはず。

5) Vitim ought not to be considered in the justice system. そもそも被害者第一にしたら窃盗の罪を犯した人を死刑にするんですか?ってなってそれは違うだろってなりますよね。ただこれだけでは論理がないので、理由をつけると、We can't measure the intensity of victims preferences(さっきあげた音源参照)というやつです。

 

続いてPractical

このCOは初めて見た時天才だと思いました。これをパクりました。

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これベースにしてVigilantismの話を添えればケース完成です。 

まあこんな風に音源貼っても観ない人が大半だと思うので(そういう人は上達しないだけなので自業自得ではありますが)、親切にTL;DR貼ります。

SQの問題が2つあって、

1つ目に犯罪がそもそも警察にreportされないこと。

2つ目に犯罪がindigenous community内でUnaccountableな私刑により処罰される(vigilantism)こと。

これらは現行の司法制度とindigenous communityのmoral codeが大きくかけ離れているが故に先住民族の人が警察含む司法制度を信用せず、例え犯罪を目撃したとしてもどこにもreportしない、あるいは、コミュニティー内のリーダーにreportして私刑が執行されるかになります。

なのでこのモーションによってその信用の欠如を解決しようというわけです。

このargumentは戦略性を持った上で想起していて、相手が話してくるであろうvictims don't consent to the perpeturator being punished differently的な話を、Practically we get better prosecution i.e. better justice for victims.ということを証明することでPrincipleのclashで負けたとしても勝てるようにしました。

 

 

 

最近Criminal justice系のモーションがほぼ絶滅しかけているので、非常に悲しい限りですが、もうちょっと使えそうな音源も載せます。

COのPrincipleめっちゃ綺麗です。一言一句メモしてもいいレベル。色んなモーションに転用可能

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これでも色々なPrincipleが出てきます。反論の仕方も他のディベートでも参考にできそう。

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日本の高校ディベート大会あるあるで、Parent-child relationshipディベートが出るたびに、英語が流暢な学校の後半スピーカーからイントロを自分の経験(ほんとかは知らん)で始めるニキが出現します。WSDC 2020 GFのDPMも自分の経験突然語り出すニキになっていた気がする。まあ別に悪いことだとは思わないんだけど、中身ないスピーチのイントロで「僕のお母さんは云々」とか言われるとめっちゃムカつきます(※個人の感想です)。僕だけじゃないはず(だと信じてます)。

ともかく、上の音源見れば型を掴めるはずなので、いち早く上記のニキから脱出するためにも頑張ってください。

 

最後に割と有名なAshishのPrincipleレクチャー。これは上記の2つとは違ってそのまま実践に転用するのはほぼ無理ですが、アイデアの収集にはもってこい。あとPrincipleの立て方について教えてくれるのは有用。

(EPLの人が言えば立ちそうなprincipleは、ESL/EFLの僕らが言っても説得力を持ちません。しゃーなし。)

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Taiwan戦について

(Prop) Japan vs (Opp) Taiwan

2-1で勝ち

一応Splitではあるんですけど、マイナーしたパネルの方が、「当初はOpp winだと思ったけどチェアの話聞いたら君たち勝ってたわごめんね」って言い出してビビりました。実質Unanimous winということで。

バブルラウンドで負けたらブレイク落ちの大ピンチでしたが、実は僕は全然緊張しなかったですw Principle系は個人的に得意なのでモーション見た瞬間「よっしゃ時代きた!」って感じでイケイケどんどんで無事勝てました。しかも僕はDPMだったのですが、LOのケースがプレパ死んでそうな雰囲気だったので「カモきたブレイクあざす」って思いながら自信満々にスピーチしてました。なのでジャッジが結果発表でIt was a split decisionって言い始めたとき心底焦りました。もう心臓止まるかと思った。自分戦犯したかもって。結局勝てたので良かったけど。

僕らが5歳児のようにはしゃいで喜ぶ動画がHEnDAの公式Facebookアカウントに載ってます。非常に恥ずかしいですが、興味があれば調べて下さい。

 

WSDC2021 論題解説③

  • 即興ラウンド(Round 2,4,6,8)のケースは僕がメインで作っていたので、どういうケースをどのような思考プロセスで出したのか覚えている範囲で書こうと思います。
  • 準備ラウンド(Round 1,3,5,7)のうちRound 3のケースのみ僕がメインで作っていたので、即興ラウンド同様のことを書こうと思います。その他の論題に関しては、手伝った部分もありますが、僕の勝手なケース解釈が混じっているかつあまり詳細に書けないかもしれません。
  • 即興ラウンドの思考法に関しては、僕はおそらく他の人とかなり違った方法でケースを考えているので参考になるかは分かりません。詳しくはRound 2の解説の欄に書いてあります。

[Round 5 (Prepared)]

〈Hegel、Panda共通〉TH prefers leaderless social justice movements.

(本院は、リーダーのいない社会正義運動を好む)

 

今大会予選モーションの中で一番オーソドックス。とはいえprefers A to Bの形にwordingがなってないのどうにかしてほしい。

まずは、leaderless movementって何なんでしょう。Greta ThunbergとかMLKとかガンジーとかがleaderでそいつらがいないsocial movementだけど、一概に一括りにできるかは怪しいと思います。例えば、Occupy Wall StreetSNSから始まって、組織がないままprotestしたり。これって一切の組織構造を取り払ったsocial movementです。一方、Pride movementはPride Marchとかから伺えるようにちゃんとした組織があります。Leaderがいないだけ。じゃあ香港の民主化デモとかはどうなんだろう、周庭さんみたいな活動家は複数人いるけどみんなleaderなんでしょうか。leaderless movementって何なんでしょう。この疑問を持った人が僕以外にいたらしくMotion Committee に質問が来たそうです。

We have received one question on the prepared motion for Round 5, This House prefers leaderless social justice movements. 

The question was: “While having in mind multiple examples of the potential agent of leader in the motion, such as MLK, Greta Thunberg, George Floyd and different organizational structures of social movements being both vertical and horizontal, while still having a leader (FFF or Workers’ Movement in Burkina Faso), the question - what type of social movements do classify as LEADERLESS - arises. Should the criteria be based on different organizational structures of the movement, or rather the existence/absence of prominent figures that are organizers/spokespeople/etc.? If the latter, what are the criterias that differentiate people who are a part of the movement from the people who are the leaders? 

 

The response from the Motions Committee is as follows: 

Both criteria provided are possible. Examples of what these leaderless social justice movements look like are likely to exist on a spectrum.

 

全く回答になっていないことはさておき、Propだったらどちらの定義でやるのかな。Occupy Wall Streetみたいな完全horizontalなのは

どうでもいいところに無駄に字数を使ってしまったので、Oppケースへ。

Oppケースの大半がこのモーションの定義に関係なく作ることができます。

中身に入る前に、大半のsocial movementディベートにおいて話すべきことは2つで、quantity and quality of supportです。この帰結メインにしてケースを考えてみると良いかも。

参考までに音源を少々

VWSDC 2020 GF Canada vs Singapore

https://www.facebook.com/VWSDC/videos/1365875466952311

 

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European Round Robin R1:

Infoslide: The Queer Liberation March is a self-described people’s political march, an alternative to the main Stonewall50 Pride March. Unlike the Stonewall 50 March, it will have no corporate sponsors, no police and no politicians attending.

TH would attend the Queer Liberation March rather than the Stonewall50 March.

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では、

1つ目にLeader empowers the movementという話です。

これに関しては、これのCOの1つ目(多分)のextensionと同じ内容。

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例としてはFeminist movementとか現状リーダーがいなくて統一目標がなく、virtue signalingだけして終わってる印象。それに対して、GretaとかMLKはinspirationになるよね、movementに参加したくなるよねと言えます。これだとちょっとintuition pumpすぎるので、一応characterisationとして、leaderってpower struggleみたいなものを勝ち上がっているのでカリスマなり人望なりがありそう、と加えておくと良い。あとの理由は上の音源で言っている3つをそのまま使えばいいと思います。

一応、本番の原稿もどうぞ。

中身で、2つの側面があって、1) increase in external support, 2) increase in dedicated supporters (所謂quality of supportの話)。コンストではごちゃ混ぜでいいですが後半スピーカーは分けて話すと分かりやすいよね。

 

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1. Leaders possess necessary rhetoric to gather support

In SQ, the average person is unable to understand why the SQ is problematic for marginalised people, since they don’t experience the lives they have.
On ourside, leaders like Martin Luther King or Greta has charisma and great public speaking skills since they necessarily had to outcompete other leader candidates and garner support during the race to the top
Therefore, leaders excel at making their narrative easy to understand for their audience, which makes the public realize that situation is dreadful for the marginalised group.
This looks like Marthin Luther King depicting the hope of black people through concise impactful language like “I have a dream
In comparison, it’s difficult for leaderless movements to articulate and make people aware of current minority issues, because the people sending messages to the public are likely to be just any person, who are less likely to be outspoken.

 

2. The message of the movement becomes centralised

With one leader, you are able to focus on uniform messaging because the leader decides the agenda which is clarified and consistent.
The comparison is that leaderless movements have different activists telling different political objectives that can sometimes even be diametrically opposed
F.E. some Yellow Vest movement supporters, wanted cooperation with the French government but some wanted Macron to resign.
This convulted message makes the public confused and thus decreases engagement in the movement.

 

3. There is Increased dedication to movement and the leader

That is, Leaders act as a psychological pillar to the movements because they are the brave heroes who risk their lives for the general public.
This optic increases buy-in and avid dedication to the leader, since people feel inspired and they want to follow this person because the leader is fighting for them.
When you have people like Marsha Johnson, a prounouned African American gay-right activist, you want to join the movement because you trust and idolize Johnson and want to fight for the cause bc of that specific leader.

 

4. Leaders get significantly better media coverage
The media has more incentive to interview leaders because now the media can say “look, this person is the most important person of the movement, and now that they are on our program, we can gather attention and views”

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これでmore supportというのは何となく証明できたので、後は具体的なimpactに落とします。これはアイデアは(雑だけど)上の音源でMOで話されているので割愛。

 

2つ目のargumentはqualityの側面の話です。Why we get more structural change on our side

どういうことかというと、例えばBLMってleaderless movementで最も成功している例だと思うんですが、BLMって何かpolicy changeをもたらしたかと言われると実は(直接的には)ほぼないですよね。Policy reformとか別に行われていないし若者がSNSのプロフィールを真っ黒な画像にしたら何か社会に変革があるんだろうか。Me tooも一緒。Harvey Weinstein捕まったけどDV率変わらないし何もstructural reformが起きてないじゃん。所謂Armchair activismみたいな感じです。だけどleaderがいれば皆がSNSハッシュタグをつけて投稿するだけで、交渉における力が強くなるよね。結局責任者が誰かいないと何も実際に人々にtangibleな影響をもたらすstructural reformはなされません。

このargumentは相手のモーションの定義によって影響されてしまうので、そこだけ注意ではあります。僕がPropだったら絶対PMの最初の1分でframingでLeaderless movement still has organisational structure to be able to negotiate with government and relevant authoritiesって言うもん。そのframingを使うとPropのargumentと矛盾する(ように一見見える)可能性大なので、相手がそう言ったらコントラ!って言って相手のメインケースのimpactをminimiseしましょう。

Poland戦について

(Prop) Poland vs (Opp) Japan

Unianimousで勝ち

(僕は出てないで観戦してましたが、)皆上手かった。あとPolandのWhipがモデルみたいに綺麗だった。

 

[Round 6(Impromptu)]

〈Hegel〉You are an athlete who has been identified as having huge potential in your sport. Unfortunately, you are a citizen of a country that cannot afford to provide the training and facilities you'd need to achieve your potential. Another country has offered you the training and facilities that could make you an Olympian, and potentially an Olympic Champion. The only condition is that you must renounce your current citizenship and become a citizen of this new country.

TH, as this athlete, W accept the offer and move to the new country.

(あなたは、スポーツに大きな素質を持っていると判明したアスリートである。不幸にも、あなたの住んでいる国は、その素質を発揮するための十分なトレーニングや施設を提供する余裕がない。別の国があなたをオリンピアン、もしかするとオリンピックチャンピオンになれるほどのトレーニングや施設を提供すると申し出た。唯一の条件は、あなたが現在住んでいるの国の市民権を放棄し、その国の市民になることである。

あなた(このアスリート)は、このオファーを受け別の国へ移住する。)

 

流石にそろそろ解説が面倒になってきたので音源を貼るだけで許してぇ

こういうhypotheticalなモーションって謎だよなぁ

DLOすごい良い

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MGとGWしか聞いてないけどとりあえずCG強そう

www.facebook.com

〈Panda〉TH regrets the dominant belief that the customer’s needs and desires should always come first.

(本院は、消費者のニーズと欲求をいつでも最優先すべきであるという支配的な信念を後悔する)

 

なんか予選の即興モーション、何かが違うなと思うモーションが多いので萎える。

気を取り直して、

このモーションを見て真っ先に思うのはクレーマーがうるさく店員に文句を言っている、時々見かける光景でしょう。そんなことをargumentにしてもしょうもないでしょ。Impactなんですか。P○Aでディベートしてください。

 

以下、Oppケースを考えます。

 

まず今からnarrativeモーション弱者の私がnarrativeモーションの考え方を語ります。

narrativeモーションでは誰が、どこで、どのように、誰によって作られたnarrativeを受容して、受け手にはどのような行動の変化がもたらされるかを考えます。

受け手が誰になるかを考えなくては何も始まらないので、受け手になり得そうなactorをリストアップします。とはいえこのモーションではざっくりと

消費者、会社

の2者しかいません。

上で一蹴した話はこのnarrativeによって消費者がどう反応するかの話です。なので、会社がどう影響されるのか考えましょう。会社といっても店員ではなく会社の重役の人とかです。例えば、この人たちが次に開発する商品は何にしようかと決めるとき(profit incentiveはsymmetricなので置いておいて)、多少開発コストがかかったとしても少数の顧客の要望に応えた商品を作りそう。これだったらminorityへのimpactに落とせる、例えば黒人の使いやすい化粧品・ヘアプロダクトとかなんかな知らんけど、こういう商品がこっちで多く作られるのでありがたいね。

上記のように考えてMinorityの話できるじゃんとなったので1つ目のargumentはMinorityにしました。

Minorityの話でもう一つ半分無理矢理話した話があって、それはpolitical consumerismケースです。

消費者がボイコットすることよくあるでしょ。環境問題とか人種差別とかで。そういうのって基本はcritical massにはならないので会社もそこまで聞かないけど、このnarrativeあれば聞くんじゃないすか。最低限logically分かるでしょ、ならよし。

Political consumerismについてはこの音源をまじで見て欲しい。ほんとレベル高すぎ。

https://www.facebook.com/lsedebate/videos/1094696424376339/

 

2つ目行きます。Better corporate practices

1つ目も2つ目もどっちも会社の話してて被ってるじゃん。そうです。良いargumentが思いつかなかったんです(泣)

まずこのargumentで始めてcounterfactualを描きます。プレパでは真っ先に考えることですが、ここで言った方が綺麗だったので。

 

一応補足ですが、TH regrets XというモーションではOppがSQを、PropがXが存在しなかった世界(counterfactual)をdefendします。時間指定はないので昔に遡ってXが存在しなかった世界について話しても問題ないです。

 

Counterfactualは2通りあって、会社がshareholderかworkerを最も気にする (or 全部等しく気にする もありますが、これは異なるactorの利害が対立した場合どうするのか不明瞭なので違うと思う)です。

となるとWhy would companies care about workers???となるので、きっとshareholderの利益が優先されるんでしょう。

ちなみにこのPM(Teck Wei)のスピーチでのcounterfactualの説明の仕方にインスパイアされました。このPMスピーチは本当すごいので是非。

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ということでshareholderが優先されるとどうなるんでしょうか。

ちょっとcherrypicking感は辛いけど否めませんが、Dividendとか増えるんでしょう。Workerがexploitされるんでしょう。

ここでshareholderがいかにクソかを話すと良いんじゃないかな。Hedge fundカスです。会社のlong-term sustainability一切気にしません。商品開発の費用とか商品の価格とトレードオフにならざるを得ないのでharmfulだよね。ShareholderとCompany executiveのincentiveは全然違って、前者はshort-termなこと(increasing corporate dividend, engaging in stock buybacks, etc. 詳しくは調べてみてね)を気にする傾向にあるが、後者はlong-termなこと(research and developmentとか)を気にする(必ずしも正しくはないけど)とcharacterisationで言うことができます。あるあるanalysisの一つなので、知っておくと良いと思います。

このincentiveが、consumer第一になることで商品開発とか価格を下げるように変わるって感じ。

あとは、Propはworkerのexploitationについてとか話すと思うので、勝たせないためにclashするマターを1st speechに持ってきたいので、このcounterfactualをそのまま使って、short-termistならexploitするけどlong-termistならexploitしないって上手く説明するのが効率いいかな。

この辺のことはこのレクチャーのどこかで話されてました。2時間観るの辛いと思うけど頑張ってください。

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参考レクチャー:

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その他narrative系で適当な音源を

OGとCOレベル高そう

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OWスピーチうまい

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モンゴル戦について

(Prop) Mongolia vs (Opp) Japan

2-1で勝ち

splitなのは本当に理解に苦しみます。MinorしたジャッジのRFD聞いたけど理解不能だったし。ぶっちゃけて言うと、WSDCの予選は一定数地雷ジャッジが存在します。ちなみに当たり前だけどWSDCにいるなら日本の高校生大会にも勿論一定数います。(TSOは多分いません。ココ大事。)

僕も高校1年の時なら確実にジャッジに噛み付いていたと思うものの、今思えばなんて恥ずかしいことをしていたんだって思います。人って成長するもんだね。

何が言いたいかと言うと、地雷ジャッジが一定数いるものの、それに対して理不尽だふざけるな!って怒っても何も生み出せなくて、地雷ジャッジにも絶対にこっちにvoteさせるぞという意気込みで臨むべきです。

今の気分は孔子

特に後半スピーカーは何もディベートを知らない素人が見ても絶対にこっちに入れるしかないようにリスクヘッジすることも役割の一つだと思っています。今回の場合はおそらく1st speechの段階でこのnarrativeがどのようにmanifestするかの認識を共有できなかったためにケースの前提が理解されず向こうにvoteされていました(おそらく)。なのでケースの根幹に関わることはバカにも分かるようにしつこくclarifyしましょう。

WSDC2021 論題解説②

  • 即興ラウンド(Round 2,4,6,8)のケースは僕がメインで作っていたので、どういうケースをどのような思考プロセスで出したのか覚えている範囲で書こうと思います。
  • 準備ラウンド(Round 1,3,5,7)のうちRound 3のケースのみ僕がメインで作っていたので、即興ラウンド同様のことを書こうと思います。その他の論題に関しては、手伝った部分もありますが、僕の勝手なケース解釈が混じっているかつあまり詳細に書けないかもしれません。
  • 即興ラウンドの思考法に関しては、僕はおそらく他の人とかなり違った方法でケースを考えているので参考になるかは分かりません。詳しくはRound 2の解説の欄に書いてあります。

[Round 3 (Prepared)]

〈Hegel、Panda共通〉THBT the African Union should attempt to contain growing Gulf* influence in the horn of Africa.**

(本院は、アフリカ連合アフリカの角**における湾岸諸国*の影響力を抑えるべきであると信じる)

(湾岸諸国*=バーレーンクウェートオマーンカタールサウジアラビアアラブ首長国連邦アフリカの角**=ジブチエチオピアソマリアエリトリア

 

知識ないと厳しそうなさすがprepared motionって感じの厳つさ。

 

Oppケースについて。(Propケースは下に一部記述あり)これは一旦実際のスピーチ原稿を貼ります。大体72, 73点くらいのスピーチです。我ながら良いケース。

続きを読む

WSDC2021 論題解説①

論題解説なるものを始めるのですが、いくつか注意点を。

  • 即興ラウンド(Round 2,4,6,8)のケースは僕がメインで作っていたので、どういうケースをどのような思考プロセスで出したのか覚えている範囲で書こうと思います。
  • 準備ラウンド(Round 1,3,5,7)のうちRound 3のケースのみ僕がメインで作っていたので、即興ラウンド同様のことを書こうと思います。その他の論題に関しては、手伝った部分もありますが、僕の勝手なケース解釈が混じっているかつあまり詳細に書けないかもしれません。
  • 即興ラウンドの思考法に関しては、僕はおそらく他の人とかなり違った方法でケースを考えているので参考になるかは分かりません。詳しくはRound 2の解説の欄に書きます。

 [Round 1(Prepared)]
〈Hegel、Panda共通〉TH regrets the commercialisation of space.

(本院は、宇宙の商業化を後悔する)

(論題作成者による補足:「宇宙の商業化」には人工衛星の商業利用だけでなく、宇宙探査プログラムやロケット打ち上げ、宇宙へのアクセスの商業化なども含む。)

(※注…Prop.側は、「宇宙が商業化されなかった世界」が「宇宙が商業化された世界(=現状)」よりも良いことを示し、Opp.側はその逆を示す)

 

Elon MuskのSpace Xとかつい最近Jeff Bezosが宇宙旅行に行った(Blue Origin)とか、日本でいうと一時期話題になった前澤友作剛力彩芽を捨てて宇宙旅行に行く話のイメージです。ただ、宇宙の商業化はそれだけにとどまらず、Google Mapとか衛生から映像を取得してるから一応入るっぽいし、上記の補足にもあるような例も含みます。

このモーションはunbalancedすぎてPropは非常に厳しい感じでした。そもそもRegret commericialisationなので、Propの証明責任がcommericialisationが存在しなかった世界vs現状の比較で、stateのspace research(NASAJAXA等)はデフォルトではどちらの世界にも存在し、特にtrade-offが発生しない。Oppのbenefitが大量に存在するけどPropのBenefitは謎状態でした。とはいえ沢山の心の広い先輩ディベーターの方々に相談した結果、以下のケースに落ち着きました。

Argumentは2つで、
1. Opportunity cost 2. Space research (by state) would be better


1つ目は結構funkyなargumentでTeam Chinaも困惑していた最強argumentです() これ(https://youtu.be/aOEccYc-tug)のLOのargumentの派生版的な感じです。
要はSpace commericialisationによって使用されているresourceがもっと有用なことに使えたはずで、民間の宇宙開発のOpportunity costが大きすぎるという話です。お金とか貴重な資源とか。宇宙開発って投資金額莫大なくせして、人々にtangibleなbenefitもたらさないっていうのはほんとそれって感じではあります。
このArgumentで若干問題なのは、「じゃあ民間の宇宙開発が存在しない世界(Counterfactual)において、これらのresourceがどこに使われているんじゃ」と言われると答えづらいところにあります。あくまでPolicy motionではないので「ResourceはWelfareに使われます!」とかFiat(Fiatについては次の記事を参照)できないし、、、これを解消する方法はcompanies' incentives to invest in spaceを分析した上で、Given the incentive structure, what would have been the most likely alternativeという話をする感じです。難しい。簡単に言うと所謂Big techと言われる超巨大企業が利益を追求しない長期的なハイリスクハイリターンな投資をしているイメージ。個人的には直感的にAIとかテクノロジー系に流れるのかなと思いました。

それはともかく、Argument内の構造は以下の3つのことを順々に説明していく感じでした。

a) Development cost is going to be high
b) Benefits of space commercialization is marginal
c) This could’ve been used for much better purposes

 

疲れたので2つ目のargumentへ。

Space development is better on Prop side

a) The lack of regulation leads to pernicious actions by corporations e.g. creation of space debris
b) Resources are much cheaper

沢山の企業が衛生打ち上げたりロケット発射すると宇宙ごみが増えて色々まずいことになります(詳しくはググって)。結果、NASAとか政府系の宇宙開発ができなくなるのがまずいという帰結です。「最初のargumentで宇宙開発要らないって言ったじゃん、矛盾じゃん!」と思う人がもしかしたらいるかもしれないので補足しておくと、政府の行う宇宙開発と民間の行う宇宙開発はやっていることが全然違います。前者は科学的(ISSで実験とかしてる)な目的なのに対し、後者はビジネス開拓が主要です。

bについては希少な人材を沢山の企業が参入して高い給料払い出したらNASAどうなるの+開発に必要な希少な原料の価格高騰を招くんじゃねという話です。

China戦について

(Prop) Japan vs (Opp) China

結果:Unanimousで負け

これは僕(試合には出ていなかったので観戦していた)から見ても負けていたのでしょうがない感じでした。相手のWhip(Bowser Liu)が上手すぎてケースが全部死にました。マジで上手かった。GWまでは普通に勝ってたのに...あっぱれですね。

ちなみにChinaのケースはcorporationのcapacityとincentiveに分けてspace commericialisationのbenefitについて話してました。結局はspace developmentが促進されるというケース。

全然関係ないけど、予選が終わった後にこんなのを見つけました。ほぼ一緒のモーションをTeam Hong Kongがディベートしてます。見ておけばよかった。キレそう。
https://youtu.be/NmC8UH9xLEU


[Round 2(Impromptu)]
〈Hegel〉THW ban the production and consumption of meat.

(本院は、肉の生産と消費を禁止する)

これを見ればあなたもハッピー。
https://youtu.be/2gAbqTedM8M

〈Panda〉THBT the International Olympic Committee should recognize an athlete's right to protest.

(本院は、国際オリンピック委員会がアスリートの抗議する権利を認めるべきであると信じる)

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ケースの考え方について

前述の通り大半のディベーターとは異なっている(気がする)ので、参考にするべきかはうーんって感じです。

具体的には、ケースって普通は帰結から考えるもので、Minorityの話をしようとかPrinciple出すかとか決めた上で中身を詰めるのが普通だと思うんですが、僕の場合真逆で、例えばこのモーションだと真っ先にOlympicにおけるProtestってどういう効果があるって分析を出しやすいか(例えば沢山のglobal audienceが注目する、オリンピック選手って国の代表としてglorifyされているからみんな話をちゃんと聞く)とかから考えます。要は、ディベートで論理的に説明しやすそうな分析を沢山ランダムに連想して、そこで思いついた話にそれっぽい帰結を加えて複数のまとまったargumentを生成する、というイメージです。こういう考え方をしている理由におそらく、昔からディベートの音源を腐るほど観ていて、「誰々が何年のどこどこの大会で言ってた分析と別の人がどこで使ってたframingを混ぜれば勝てる!」みたいなある意味テキトーな方法でなんとかなってしまったからなのだと思います。ということで、せっかくなら各モーションの関連音源のリンクも貼っていこうと思います。

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モーションが発表されて一同、なんだこの謎モーションは?ってなりました。ただチームメイトが謎にめちゃめちゃexampleを知っていたのでめちゃめちゃ助かった。
Prop有利な気がしていてOppはどういうケースを立てればいいのかなというのは未だに非常に謎。

実際の試合ではPropだったので、どういうことを言うべきなのかよくわからなかった(かつ未だに自信がないものの)とりあえず困ったらのPrincipleとPracticalを出しました。今回はアイデアがあんまり出ないので帰結ベースで立てました。

 

ではまず、Principleから。

正直よく分からなかったので、とりあえずa) Freedom of speech侵害ダメだろ b) Protestはself-defenceの一種です c) Olympicの意義的にこれをIOCがやるべき という3つに分けて立てました。あんまりセンスないargumentでごめんなさい。

a) freedom of speechから、ここではなんでこのcontextにおいてathletesの表現の自由がそんなに大事なのかを説明しないといけないので、なんでそもそもathletesがprotestをしてるのかのcharacterisationを詰める必要がある(と思ったけど正しいかは知りません)。じゃあなんでprotestしているんでしょう。主にminorityが政治的に抑圧されていることへの抗議を表明しているケース、例えばBlack Salute(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1968_Olympics_Black_Power_salute)、が多いとするのがFreedom of speechの重要性を伝えるにはいいのでは?ここでじゃあなぜこのcontextがmajorityなのかを論理的に説明しなきゃいけないので、そもそもオリンピックのために一生を捧げてきた選手がメダルの授賞式なりオリンピックの会場においてわざわざ政治的な発言をすることってなくて、何かしらの大事な理由があるからしている、つまり自分のidentityにとって大事なissueであるはずだという推測ができるはず。特に、政治的な発言をするとスポンサーが減ったりするかもしれないし。こういうframeをするとpractical contingentにならず、principleっぽくなる。今書いてて思ったんですけど、b) self-defenceがfreedom of speechの重要性と被りますね。Black saluteって黒人への権利侵害を世界に訴えかけるもので、自分自身のidentity/communityのself-defenceの一種となるもんね。あとは、Olympicという場が世界中にメッセージを発信できdiscourseを生むことができるuniqueな場だからこの権利って大事とも言えます。

最後に、c) This aligns with Olympicの意義 ですが、これは言うことなかったから付け加えただけで正直必要なのかは謎。相手が言ってくるであろうOlympicに政治は要らない!的な話のpre-emptionにはなるけど。Olympicの意義がそもそもworld peaceとかなのかな、でも結局これってpractical contingent(world peaceが起こるかに依存している)だし、そもそもOlympicのルールとか大会仕様って毎回変わるもの(例えばスケボーとか今年から種目で加わってたし)だから最終的にこのprincipleを守ることがなぜ大事なのか非常に謎。

 

続いて、Practicalについて。

まずSQにおいて社会的に認識されていない問題があって、そのrecognitionが上がる話をします。

確実にOlympicという場であるからこそ、世界中のmediaからのattentionを得れる機会であるというのは割と自明だと思うので、一番Opposition sideとclashするのは、whether the ways in which media portray these issues would be good or badという所に帰着すると思います。要はBlack saluteとかColin Kaepernickみたいに膝をついた黒人選手がバッシングされるか、それとも黒人の問題への共感が増えるかどっちがlikelyなんだという話です。ぶっちゃけ現実世界を見るにどっちもmutually exclusiveではなく存在し、equally likelyだけど、debate landでは

1) structural reasons as to why either case is more likely

2) comparison of impacts on either case

の2つのアプローチによって論理的に説明できます。ここではProp用のケースなので、1)からOlympicに出場している選手は国を代表している選手としてmediaでglorifyされているはずでバッシングの対象になりにくいとか色々理由は挙げられます。2)については、多少バッシングが増えたとしてもこれってどのみちFOX newsみたいなconservativeなmarginal differenceじゃないかと言えそう。

Syria戦について

(Prop) Japan vs (Opp) Syria

 結果:Unanimousで勝ち

R1で負けたのでPower pairingで0勝同士の対戦でした。なのである程度実力差があった印象。

Oppの出すべきargumentがよくわからなかったので、試合後ジャッジに聞いてみたらOlympic/sportsを見ている人のutilityが下がる的な話をするとか言ってました。もし立てれるならMinority has other avenues in which they can advocate for their own issues whereas to sports fans Olympic specifically is a unique place where they can derive meaning fromみたいな比較言えるんじゃないのかな。このモーションについてはこれ以上書きたくないのでここで終わりましょう。

関連音源

Sports系だと以下おすすめ

www.youtube.com

www.youtube.com

youtu.be

 

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